TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.8b
24H VOL:
$244,265,276
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,069,390
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,349,697,137
578,254
Markets across
14,382
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,099
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers an MLS match between Toronto FC and New York Red Bulls scheduled for March 14, 2026 at 1:00 PM ET. Markets span multiple outcome types: total goals (Over/Under at 1.5, 2.5, 3.5, 4.5 thresholds), spread betting (goal-margin wins for both teams at 1.5 and 2.5 goal thresholds), and both-teams-to-score. Resolution is based on the official final score after 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)
Both Polymarket and Kalshi align on the same official resolution source (MLS/mlssoccer.com), the same time window (90 minutes plus stoppage time, no extra time), and identical edge-case handling (postponement, cancellation, and incomplete-game protocols).
Primary resolution logic:
Official MLS final score published on mlssoccer.comCore resolution logic:
- Over/Under markets resolve based on combined goals scored by both teams: Over triggers at or above the stated threshold (1.5=2+, 2.5=3+, 3.5=4+, 4.5=5+), Under triggers below threshold
- Spread markets resolve based on goal differential: positive spread for the favored team (e.g., Toronto -1.5 means Toronto wins by 2+), negative spread for the underdog (e.g., New York -1.5 means New York wins by 2+)
- Both Teams to Score resolves Yes if each team scores at least one goal, No if either team scores zero
- Resolution window is exactly 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time; extra time and penalties are excluded
- If game is postponed, markets remain open until the rescheduled game is completed
- If game is canceled with no makeup, all markets resolve 50-50
- If game starts but does not complete, resolution uses the official final score at the time of stoppage
Edge cases & Clarifications:
- Postponement: Markets remain open and unresolved until the game is played to completion on the rescheduled date
- Cancellation (No Makeup): All markets in the group resolve 50-50 (equal payout to both sides)
- Incomplete Game: If the game starts but is abandoned before 90 minutes plus stoppage time, resolution uses the official final score recorded by MLS at the time of stoppage
- Extra Time and Penalties: These are explicitly excluded from resolution; only the 90-minute regulation period plus stoppage time counts
Timing:
Resolution occurs immediately after the official final score is published by MLS on mlssoccer.com following the conclusion of 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time on March 14, 2026Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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