TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.9b
24H VOL:
$249,705,498
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,069,390
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,354,509,605
579,516
Markets across
14,317
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,116
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
Toronto FC will face Colorado Rapids SC in an MLS regular season match on April 4, 2026. This event group captures three mutually exclusive outcomes: a Toronto victory, a Colorado victory, or a draw. All markets resolve based on the result after 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi resolves YES for any outcome (Colorado win, Toronto win, or tie), making it a tautological market that always resolves YES. Polymarket has three separate binary markets (draw, Colorado win, Toronto win) that resolve based on the actual match outcome, creating fundamentally different resolution logic between the platforms.Hero Tip:
Avoid the Kalshi market — it resolves YES regardless of the match result, making it unsuitable for directional betting. Use Polymarket's three separate markets (draw, Colorado win, Toronto win) for actual outcome-dependent exposure. If you hold Kalshi YES, you will profit regardless of who wins or if there is a tie.Critical Divergence Points:
Kalshi:
Outlier: This market resolves YES for every possible outcome (Colorado win, Toronto win, or tie). The three resolution criteria state 'If Colorado wins... then the market resolves to Yes,' 'If Toronto wins... then the market resolves to Yes,' and 'If Tie wins... then the market resolves to Yes,' creating a tautological structure where the market always resolves YES regardless of the actual match result.Polymarket:
Distinct stance: Polymarket offers three separate binary markets with mutually exclusive outcomes. The draw market resolves YES only if the match ends in a draw, the Colorado market resolves YES only if Colorado wins, and the Toronto market resolves YES only if Toronto wins. Exactly one of these three outcomes will occur, and only the corresponding market resolves YES while the others resolve NO.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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