TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.7b
24H VOL:
$229,178,007
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,069,390
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,336,753,738
577,196
Markets across
14,485
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,077
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers the women's college basketball matchup between the Toledo Rockets and Ball State Cardinals scheduled for March 13, 2026 at 12:30 PM ET. The market resolves based on which team wins the game, with provisions for postponement or cancellation.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Market structure divergence: Kalshi uses binary Yes/No resolution for any game outcome, while Polymarket uses categorical resolution naming the winning team. Both agree on the underlying event (game winner) but express it through incompatible resolution frameworks.Hero Tip:
Do not assume these markets are equivalent. Kalshi's Yes resolution applies to both possible outcomes, making it unsuitable for directional betting. Polymarket's categorical structure allows you to bet on a specific team. If trading both platforms, treat them as separate instruments with different payoff structures. Pay attention to Polymarket's explicit postponement and cancellation rules, which Kalshi does not address.Critical Divergence Points:
Kalshi:
Binary Yes/No market that resolves to Yes if either Toledo or Ball State wins the game. Both outcomes trigger Yes resolution. No explicit handling of postponement or cancellation.Polymarket:
Categorical market resolving to team name (Toledo Rockets or Ball State Cardinals). Explicitly handles postponement by keeping market open until game completion, and cancellation by resolving 50-50. Result determined by final score including overtime.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
Related events
Follow the signals, not the noise
Get insights on market conviction, notable shifts, and what the data is quietly signaling.
PredictionHero © 2026 · v0.15.0PredictionHero provides aggregated market data and informational signals only. Nothing on this site constitutes financial, legal, or investment advice. Markets are volatile and speculative. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always do your own research and consult qualified professionals before making decisions involving risk.