TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.7b
24H VOL:
$229,178,007
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,069,390
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,336,753,738
577,196
Markets across
14,485
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,077
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event is for the upcoming J1 100 Year Vision League game, scheduled for Wednesday, March 18, 2026 between Tōkyō Verdy and Kawasaki Frontale.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi's market structure creates a logical impossibility: all three outcomes (Frontale win, Tie, Tokyo V win) resolve to YES simultaneously, making the market fundamentally unresolvable. Polymarket uses standard binary logic where exactly one outcome resolves YES and others resolve NO, creating irreconcilable divergence in settlement methodology.Hero Tip:
Do not trade Kalshi markets in this group — they contain a data integrity failure that makes settlement impossible. Polymarket markets are resolvable and follow standard soccer match logic. If you hold Kalshi positions, escalate to PredictionHero support immediately for clarification or cancellation.Critical Divergence Points:
Kalshi:
Outlier: All three outcome markets (Frontale win, Tie, Tokyo V win) are structured to resolve YES for their respective outcomes, but the rules state each resolves YES if that outcome occurs. This creates a logical contradiction where every possible match result triggers YES on all three markets simultaneously, violating basic market exclusivity. Key quote: 'If Frontale wins... then the market resolves to Yes. If Tie wins... then the market resolves to Yes. If Tokyo V wins... then the market resolves to Yes.'Polymarket:
Aligned with standard prediction market logic: Three separate binary markets (Tokyo V win, Draw, Frontale win) each resolve YES or NO based on the single match outcome. Exactly one market resolves YES; the other two resolve NO. Key quote: 'If Tōkyō Verdy wins, this market will resolve to Yes. Otherwise, this market will resolve to No.' This structure is mutually exclusive and exhaustive.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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