TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.8b
24H VOL:
$236,615,189
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,069,390
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,344,513,070
577,941
Markets across
14,530
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,090
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers the NBA game between the Minnesota Timberwolves and Denver Nuggets scheduled for March 1, 2026 at 3:30 PM ET. Markets span moneyline, spreads, over/unders (full game and first half), and individual player prop bets (points, rebounds, assists). The group includes 130 markets on Polymarket and 1 market on Kalshi.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)
All Polymarket and Kalshi markets use the official NBA.com final box score as the authoritative resolution source, with consistent handling of postponements, cancellations, and player inactivity.
Primary resolution logic:
Official NBA box score published on NBA.comCore resolution logic:
- Moneyline: Resolves to the team with the higher final score (including overtime)
- Spread: Resolves based on margin of victory; Nuggets spread resolves Yes if Nuggets win by the specified points or more; Timberwolves spread resolves Yes if Timberwolves win by the specified points or more
- Over/Under (full game): Resolves Over if combined team points exceed the threshold; Under if combined points are at or below the threshold
- Over/Under (first half): Resolves based on combined score at halftime only
- Player props (points): Resolves Yes if player scores more than the stated threshold; No if at or below threshold
- Player props (rebounds/assists): Resolves Yes if player records more than the stated threshold; No if at or below threshold
- Postponement: All markets remain open until game completion
- Cancellation with no makeup: All markets resolve 50-50
- Player inactivity: Player prop markets resolve No if player does not take the court
Edge cases & Clarifications:
- Tied halftime score: First-half moneyline resolves 50-50 if teams are tied at halftime
- Overtime periods: All markets include overtime scoring in final resolution; only first-half markets exclude overtime
- Game cancellation: If game is canceled entirely with no makeup game scheduled, all markets resolve 50-50
- Player listed inactive: Player prop markets resolve No if player is listed as inactive or does not take the court at any point
- Exact threshold on player props: Player must score/rebound/assist MORE than the stated threshold to resolve Yes; at or below threshold resolves No
Timing:
Resolution occurs after the official final score is published on NBA.com following game completion (including any overtime). First-half markets resolve at halftime. If game is postponed, resolution is delayed until the rescheduled game is completed.Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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