TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.7b
24H VOL:
$229,178,007
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,069,390
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,336,753,738
577,196
Markets across
14,485
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,077
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers the NBA game between the Oklahoma City Thunder and Toronto Raptors scheduled for February 24, 2026 at 7:30 PM ET. Markets span moneyline, spreads, totals, first-half props, and individual player performance metrics (points, rebounds, assists) across both Polymarket and Kalshi platforms.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi markets resolve on second-half regulation outcomes only, while Polymarket markets resolve on full-game final scores including overtime. This creates a scope divergence rather than a logical contradiction, as both platforms are internally consistent but measure different time windows.Hero Tip:
Do not cross-trade Kalshi second-half markets with Polymarket full-game markets. A team winning the second half does not guarantee a full-game win. Treat these as separate event windows. Use Kalshi second-half data to inform Polymarket full-game positioning, but recognize they are distinct markets.Critical Divergence Points:
Kalshi:
Resolves exclusively on second-half regulation outcomes. All three conditions (Tie, OKC win, Toronto win) resolve to Yes, making this a tautological market that always resolves Yes regardless of outcome. This appears to be a market design error or a placeholder structure.Polymarket:
Resolves on final game score including overtime. Moneyline resolves to team name of winner. Spreads resolve based on margin of victory. Totals resolve based on combined final score. Player props resolve on full-game statistics from official NBA box score.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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