TOTAL VOLUME:

$139.4b

24H VOL:

$152,239,259

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,540,891,627

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,622,981,384

471,589

Markets across

36,389

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,918

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Thunder vs. Nuggets
polymarket
kalshi

Thunder vs. Nuggets

Volume:
$17,297,561

Spread -11.5

 - Polymarket

Spread -11.5 - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Apr 11, 2026

Closed: Apr 10, 9:00 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Spread -11.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$400,130
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 231.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$118,797
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -12.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$81,175
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -2.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$77,917
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -10.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$77,731
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 222.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$24,764
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 232.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$15,485
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 223.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$3,974
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

1H Spread -6.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$2,810
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

1H Spread -7.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$2,679
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Jared McCain: Points O/U 4.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$341
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Aaron Wiggins: Points O/U 4.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$194
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Kenrich Williams: Points O/U 3.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$166
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Aaron Wiggins: Points O/U 5.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$136
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Luguentz Dort: Assists O/U 0.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$61
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Luguentz Dort: Points O/U 3.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$56
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Aaron Wiggins: Rebounds O/U 1.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$55
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Kenrich Williams: Rebounds O/U 1.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$55
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Luguentz Dort: Rebounds O/U 1.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$55
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Kenrich Williams: Assists O/U 0.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$55
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Aaron Wiggins: Assists O/U 0.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$55
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Jared McCain: Assists O/U 1.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$55
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Luguentz Dort: Rebounds O/U 0.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$50
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

1H Spread -1.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$21
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Denver

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$5,562,807
N/A
N/A
$2,696,898
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 25 of 48

Description

This market resolves based on the outcome of the NBA game between the Oklahoma City Thunder and Denver Nuggets scheduled for April 10 at 9:00 PM ET. The winner is determined by the final score including any overtime periods, with the market resolving to either "Thunder" or "Nuggets" accordingly.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Polymarket provides comprehensive market definitions with explicit resolution criteria, thresholds, and contingency rules for all 40 markets covering game outcomes, spreads, totals, and player props. Kalshi provides only a single binary market with incomplete resolution logic that fails to specify which team is which, lacks any threshold or contingency definitions, and cannot be properly resolved without additional clarification.Hero tip: Do not trade the Kalshi market without clarification from the platform. The Kalshi market states 'If Denver wins...then resolves to Yes' AND 'If Oklahoma City wins...then resolves to Yes' — both outcomes resolve to Yes, making the market logically unresolvable. Polymarket markets are fully specified and tradeable; Kalshi's single market is broken and should be flagged for correction before settlement.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Outlier: Provides 40 distinct markets with complete resolution specifications including moneyline, spreads (ranging from -1.5 to -12.5 points), totals (ranging from 222.5 to 232.5 points), first-half variants, and individual player props (points, rebounds, assists) with explicit thresholds, overtime inclusion, inactivity clauses, and contingency rules for postponement (market remains open) and cancellation (50-50 resolution). All markets reference official NBA.com box scores as the authoritative source.
  • Kalshi: Outlier: Provides a single market with fundamentally broken logic. The market states 'If Denver wins the Oklahoma City at Denver professional basketball game originally scheduled for Apr 10, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes' AND 'If Oklahoma City wins the Oklahoma City at Denver professional basketball game originally scheduled for Apr 10, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.' Both possible outcomes (Denver wins OR Oklahoma City wins) are mapped to Yes, making the market logically unresolvable. No thresholds, contingencies, or resolution source are specified.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.