TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.9b
24H VOL:
$249,705,498
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,069,390
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,354,509,605
579,516
Markets across
14,317
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,116
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
On March 23, 2026 at 7:00 PM ET, the Oklahoma City Thunder will face the Philadelphia 76ers in an NBA game. Markets across Polymarket and Kalshi are pricing outcomes on the moneyline (winner), point spread (Thunder -15.5), and total points scored (various over/under thresholds ranging from 207.5 to 237.5 points). Resolution will be determined by the final official NBA score, including any overtime periods.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi and Polymarket use different resolution thresholds for combined team scoring. Kalshi resolves YES if combined score exceeds various thresholds (207.5–237.5 points), while Polymarket uses specific Over/Under markets with thresholds ranging from 220.5 to 235.5 points, where Over resolves YES only if the combined score meets or exceeds the stated threshold plus one point.Hero Tip:
If you bet on a Kalshi total-points market, your YES outcome requires the combined score to exceed the stated threshold (e.g., >237.5). On Polymarket's equivalent Over/Under market, Over resolves YES only if the combined score is strictly greater than the threshold plus one (e.g., O/U 237.5 resolves Over if combined score is 239+). This creates a 1-point divergence at boundary scores. For example, if the final combined score is 238, Kalshi's >237.5 market resolves YES, but Polymarket's O/U 237.5 (which requires 238+) also resolves Over/YES — however, at exactly 237, Kalshi resolves YES but Polymarket's equivalent would resolve Under/NO. Always verify the exact threshold and operator (> vs >=) for your chosen platform.Critical Divergence Points:
Kalshi:
Distinct stance: Kalshi uses 11 separate markets, each with a combined-score threshold stated as 'more than X.X points' (e.g., >237.5, >231.5, >222.5, etc.). Each market resolves YES if the combined score strictly exceeds the stated threshold. Example: 'If the teams in the Oklahoma City at Philadelphia professional basketball game originally scheduled for Mar 23, 2026 collectively score more than 237.5 points, then the market resolves to Yes.'Polymarket:
Distinct stance: Polymarket uses Over/Under markets with thresholds stated as 'O/U X.X' where Over resolves YES if combined score is X+1 or greater (e.g., O/U 237.5 resolves Over if score is 238+). Polymarket also includes moneyline, spread, first-half markets, and player prop markets (points, rebounds, assists) not present on Kalshi. Example: 'This market will resolve to Over if the Thunder and 76ers combine to score 238 or more points in this game' (for O/U 237.5).
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
Related events
Follow the signals, not the noise
Get insights on market conviction, notable shifts, and what the data is quietly signaling.
PredictionHero © 2026 · v0.15.0PredictionHero provides aggregated market data and informational signals only. Nothing on this site constitutes financial, legal, or investment advice. Markets are volatile and speculative. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always do your own research and consult qualified professionals before making decisions involving risk.