TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.7b
24H VOL:
$229,178,007
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,069,390
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,336,753,738
577,196
Markets across
14,485
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,077
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
A men's college basketball game between Texas Tech Red Raiders and Iowa State Cyclones scheduled for February 28, 2026 at 4:00 PM ET. Markets cover moneyline (winner), point spread outcomes at multiple thresholds, and total points over/under at three different levels.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi moneyline market contains a logical contradiction where both possible outcomes (Iowa St. win and Texas Tech win) are stated to resolve to Yes, making the market fundamentally unresolvable. Polymarket markets are internally consistent.Hero Tip:
Do not trade or hold the Kalshi moneyline—it cannot be settled. Use Polymarket's moneyline as the definitive winner source. For spread and total markets, cross-reference the exact threshold (e.g., -10.5 vs -9.5, or 146.5 vs 145.5) with your position to ensure you are on the correct platform before the game concludes.Critical Divergence Points:
Kalshi:
Moneyline market states: 'If Iowa St. wins... resolves to Yes' AND 'If Texas Tech wins... resolves to Yes'. Both outcomes cannot both be Yes in a binary market. This is a data integrity failure that makes the market unresolvable.Polymarket:
Moneyline resolves to either 'Texas Tech Red Raiders' or 'Iowa State Cyclones' based on final score. Spread markets resolve based on margin of victory (e.g., Iowa State -10.5 resolves to Iowa State if they win by 11+). Totals resolve based on combined points (e.g., O/U 146.5 resolves Over if combined score is 147+). All markets include 50-50 cancellation clause.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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