TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.7b
24H VOL:
$229,178,007
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,069,390
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,336,753,738
577,196
Markets across
14,485
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,077
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
A college basketball game between Texas State Bobcats and South Alabama Jaguars scheduled for February 19, 2026 at 8:00 PM ET. Markets cover moneyline (winner), point spreads at multiple thresholds (-3.5, -4.5), and over/under totals at multiple lines (136.5, 137.5, 138.5).
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi moneyline market contains a logical contradiction where both possible game outcomes (South Alabama win and Texas State win) are mapped to the same resolution value (Yes), rendering the market unresolvable. This is a data integrity failure.Hero Tip:
Do not trade the Kalshi moneyline in its current form. The market cannot be settled fairly because both outcomes resolve identically. Polymarket's moneyline and all derivative markets (spreads, totals) are logically consistent and should be used as the settlement reference. Request clarification from Kalshi before engaging.Critical Divergence Points:
Polymarket:
Moneyline resolves to winner name (Texas State Bobcats or South Alabama Jaguars); spreads resolve based on margin (South Alabama -3.5 requires 4+ point win, -4.5 requires 5+ point win); totals resolve Over if combined score meets or exceeds threshold (137 for 136.5 line, 138 for 137.5 line, 139 for 138.5 line). All markets remain open if postponed; resolve 50-50 if canceled with no makeup. Key quote: 'If the Texas State Bobcats win, the market will resolve to Texas State Bobcats. If the South Alabama Jaguars win, the market will resolve to South Alabama Jaguars.'Kalshi:
Moneyline market states both outcomes resolve to Yes: 'If South Alabama wins...resolves to Yes' and 'If Texas St. wins...resolves to Yes'. This creates a logical impossibility where the market cannot distinguish between outcomes. No edge case handling or cancellation logic is provided. Key quote: 'If South Alabama wins...then the market resolves to Yes. If Texas St. wins...then the market resolves to Yes.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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