TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.7b
24H VOL:
$229,178,007
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,069,390
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,336,753,738
577,196
Markets across
14,485
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,077
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Closed: Feb 21, 7:30 PM EST
Kalshi
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
A college basketball game between Texas-Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros and Southeastern Louisiana Lions scheduled for February 21, 2026 at 4:30 PM ET. Multiple prediction markets track the moneyline winner, point spread outcomes at various thresholds (-3.5, -4.5), and total points scored (over/under at 134.5, 135.5, 136.5, 138.5).
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi market contains a logical contradiction: both possible game outcomes (Southeastern Louisiana wins OR UT Rio Grande Valley wins) are mapped to the same resolution value (Yes), making the market fundamentally unresolvable and unable to differentiate between outcomes.Hero Tip:
Do not trade the Kalshi market in its current form. The resolution logic is broken—it cannot produce a meaningful settlement. Polymarket's moneyline and spread markets are logically sound and resolvable. Request clarification from Kalshi that the second condition should resolve to No, not Yes.Critical Divergence Points:
Polymarket:
Moneyline resolves to team name of winner; spreads resolve based on margin of victory (Vaqueros -3.5 requires 4+ point win, -4.5 requires 5+ point win); totals resolve based on combined score threshold (135+, 136+, 137+, 139+). All markets remain open if postponed, resolve 50-50 if canceled without makeup. Source: NCAA.org. Key quote: 'The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.'Kalshi:
Market states both 'If Southeastern Louisiana wins... resolves to Yes' and 'If UT Rio Grande Valley wins... resolves to Yes', creating identical resolution outcomes for mutually exclusive events. This is a logical contradiction. Key quote: 'If Southeastern Louisiana wins the UT Rio Grande Valley at Southeastern Louisiana men's college basketball game originally scheduled for Feb 21, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If UT Rio Grande Valley wins... then the market resolves to Yes.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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