TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.8b
24H VOL:
$236,615,189
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,069,390
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,344,513,070
577,941
Markets across
14,530
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,090
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers the Texas Longhorns vs. Texas A&M Aggies men's college basketball game scheduled for February 28, 2026 at 4:00 PM ET. Markets span moneyline (winner), over/under totals at multiple thresholds (160.5, 161.5, 162.5), and point spreads at different lines (-2.5, -3.5).
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi moneyline market contains logical contradiction where both possible outcomes (Texas win and Texas A&M win) resolve to Yes, making the market fundamentally unresolvable. Polymarket provides clear, mutually exclusive resolution logic.Hero Tip:
Do not trade the Kalshi moneyline market as described. Use Polymarket as your primary source: Texas Longhorns win resolves to Texas Longhorns, Texas A&M win resolves to Texas A&M Aggies. For spreads and totals, all platforms agree on using final score including overtime and 50-50 split if game is canceled without makeup.Critical Divergence Points:
Kalshi:
Moneyline logic is contradictory: states both Texas A&M winning and Texas winning each resolve to Yes. This violates basic market logic where only one outcome can occur. No clear resolution path exists.Polymarket:
Moneyline resolves to winner name (Texas Longhorns or Texas A&M Aggies). Spreads resolve based on margin (A&M by 3+ or 4+ depending on line). Totals resolve based on combined score thresholds (161+, 162+, or 163+). All markets: postponement keeps open; cancellation without makeup = 50-50.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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