TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.9b
24H VOL:
$249,705,498
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,069,390
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,354,509,605
579,516
Markets across
14,317
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,116
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers the men's college basketball matchup between the Tennessee Volunteers and Michigan Wolverines, scheduled for March 29, 2026, at Michigan's home venue. The market resolves based on the final outcome of the game, with either team's victory triggering a Yes resolution.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi's market resolves YES for both possible outcomes (Michigan win OR Tennessee win), making it logically contradictory and unresolvable. Polymarket correctly structures its markets with mutually exclusive outcomes: one market resolves to either 'Tennessee Volunteers' or 'Michigan Wolverines', while spread and over/under markets use standard binary logic.Hero Tip:
Do NOT trade the Kalshi moneyline market — it contains a fatal logical error that guarantees both YES outcomes simultaneously, making settlement impossible. Trade only Polymarket's markets, which follow standard prediction market logic with clear, mutually exclusive resolution paths.Critical Divergence Points:
Kalshi:
Outlier: Kalshi's moneyline market (items 1-2) states 'If Michigan wins... resolves to Yes' AND 'If Tennessee wins... resolves to Yes', creating a logical contradiction where both outcomes trigger YES. This makes the market unresolvable and violates basic binary market structure.Polymarket:
Aligned with standard prediction market logic: Polymarket structures the matchup market (item 2) with mutually exclusive outcomes — 'If Tennessee Volunteers win, resolve to Tennessee Volunteers' and 'If Michigan Wolverines win, resolve to Michigan Wolverines'. All spread and over/under markets (items 4-76) use proper binary logic with clear thresholds and alternative outcomes.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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