TOTAL VOLUME:

$139.1b

24H VOL:

$140,881,811

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,525,689,812

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,593,041,412

479,659

Markets across

37,354

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,909

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

BETA
Dashboards
Insights
Indices
API
Tour
All
Trending
Breaking
New
Ending Soon
Politics
Sports
Crypto
Companies
Elections
Financials
Economics
Other
Entertainment
Science and Technology
Tennessee Volunteers vs. Michigan Wolverines
kalshi
polymarket

Tennessee Volunteers vs. Michigan Wolverines

Volume:
$21,686,698

Michigan

 - Kalshi

Michigan - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Mar 30, 2026

Closed: Mar 29, 5:15 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Michigan

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$6,725,310
N/A
N/A
$4,660,909
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -7.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,606,991
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 146.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$484,450
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -8.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$358,276
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 145.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$58,927
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 153.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$2,262
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -19.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$650
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 151.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$621
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -5.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$574
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -20.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$294
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 148.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$228
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -22.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$186
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -15.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$176
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 147.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$154
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -14.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$121
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 144.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$120
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 149.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$90
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -18.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$76
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -27.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$37
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -17.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$30
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -11.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$20
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -9.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$20
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -21.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$20
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -6.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$10
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -24.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$10
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 25 of 40

Description

This event group covers the men's college basketball matchup between the Tennessee Volunteers and Michigan Wolverines, scheduled for March 29, 2026, at Michigan's home venue. The market resolves based on the final outcome of the game, with either team's victory triggering a Yes resolution.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi's market resolves YES for both possible outcomes (Michigan win OR Tennessee win), making it logically contradictory and unresolvable. Polymarket correctly structures its markets with mutually exclusive outcomes: one market resolves to either 'Tennessee Volunteers' or 'Michigan Wolverines', while spread and over/under markets use standard binary logic.Hero tip: Do NOT trade the Kalshi moneyline market — it contains a fatal logical error that guarantees both YES outcomes simultaneously, making settlement impossible. Trade only Polymarket's markets, which follow standard prediction market logic with clear, mutually exclusive resolution paths.

Critical divergence points:

  • Kalshi: Outlier: Kalshi's moneyline market (items 1-2) states 'If Michigan wins... resolves to Yes' AND 'If Tennessee wins... resolves to Yes', creating a logical contradiction where both outcomes trigger YES. This makes the market unresolvable and violates basic binary market structure.
  • Polymarket: Aligned with standard prediction market logic: Polymarket structures the matchup market (item 2) with mutually exclusive outcomes — 'If Tennessee Volunteers win, resolve to Tennessee Volunteers' and 'If Michigan Wolverines win, resolve to Michigan Wolverines'. All spread and over/under markets (items 4-76) use proper binary logic with clear thresholds and alternative outcomes.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.