TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.7b
24H VOL:
$229,178,007
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,069,390
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,336,753,738
577,196
Markets across
14,485
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,077
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a professional Eredivisie soccer match between Telstar 1963 and FC Twente '65 scheduled for February 15, 2026. Markets across Kalshi and Polymarket track the outcome (win/loss/draw) within 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalties.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi's market group contains a logical contradiction: all three possible match outcomes (Enschede/FC Twente win, draw, Telstar win) are mapped to Yes resolution, making the market unresolvable and meaningless as a prediction instrument. Polymarket's structure is logically sound with three mutually exclusive binary markets.Hero Tip:
Kalshi's market is broken and should be avoided. The platform has created a tautology where every possible outcome resolves to Yes, eliminating all predictive value. Polymarket offers three properly structured independent binary markets that can be traded with confidence. If you hold Kalshi positions, seek clarification or cancellation from the platform.Critical Divergence Points:
Kalshi:
Market structure maps all three possible outcomes to Yes resolution. If Enschede wins = Yes, If Tie = Yes, If Telstar wins = Yes. This creates a logical impossibility where the market cannot fail to resolve Yes, rendering it non-predictive.Polymarket:
Three independent binary markets with mutually exclusive outcomes: FC Twente win (Yes/No), Telstar win (Yes/No), Draw (Yes/No). Exactly one market resolves Yes based on actual match result. Logically coherent and resolvable.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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