TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$126,324,530

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,434,646,834

406,019

Markets across

30,401

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,689

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Tala'ea El Gaish SC vs. El Ahly SC
kalshi
polymarket

Tala'ea El Gaish SC vs. El Ahly SC

Volume:
$64,940

El Gaish

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Mar 10, 2026

Closed: Mar 9, 6:30 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

El Gaish

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$21,934
N/A
N/A
$15,217
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Tala'ea El Gaish SC

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,702
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Al Ahly (EGY)

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$22,403
N/A
N/A
$13,254
Settled
No
polymarket

El Ahly SC

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$9,713
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Tie

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$6,941
N/A
N/A
$4,940
Settled
No
polymarket

Draw (Tala'ea El Gaish SC vs. El Ahly SC)

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,247
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event group covers a professional Egyptian Premier League soccer match between Tala'ea El Gaish SC and El Ahly SC scheduled for March 9, 2026. Markets are offered on Kalshi and Polymarket with overlapping coverage of match outcomes (win/loss/draw) evaluated at 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalties.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi market logic is internally contradictory: all three possible match outcomes (El Ahly win, Tie, El Gaish win) are mapped to Yes resolution, making the market fundamentally unresolvable. Polymarket uses standard mutually exclusive binary outcomes.Hero tip: Treat Kalshi markets as unreliable pending platform correction. The logical flaw makes it impossible to determine which outcome should trigger Yes vs No. Polymarket markets are coherent and should be used as the authoritative source for this event group.

Critical divergence points:

  • Kalshi: Market structure maps all three possible outcomes to Yes: 'If Al Ahly wins...resolves to Yes', 'If Tie...resolves to Yes', 'If El Gaish wins...resolves to Yes'. This violates basic binary market logic.
  • Polymarket: Three separate binary markets with mutually exclusive outcomes: El Gaish Win (Yes/No), Draw (Yes/No), El Ahly Win (Yes/No). Only one outcome per market can resolve Yes. Includes standard postponement and cancellation clauses.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.