TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.8b
24H VOL:
$244,265,276
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,069,390
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,349,697,137
578,254
Markets across
14,382
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,099
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a professional Egyptian Premier League soccer match between Tala'ea El Gaish SC and El Ahly SC scheduled for March 9, 2026. Markets are offered on Kalshi and Polymarket with overlapping coverage of match outcomes (win/loss/draw) evaluated at 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalties.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi market logic is internally contradictory: all three possible match outcomes (El Ahly win, Tie, El Gaish win) are mapped to Yes resolution, making the market fundamentally unresolvable. Polymarket uses standard mutually exclusive binary outcomes.Hero Tip:
Treat Kalshi markets as unreliable pending platform correction. The logical flaw makes it impossible to determine which outcome should trigger Yes vs No. Polymarket markets are coherent and should be used as the authoritative source for this event group.Critical Divergence Points:
Kalshi:
Market structure maps all three possible outcomes to Yes: 'If Al Ahly wins...resolves to Yes', 'If Tie...resolves to Yes', 'If El Gaish wins...resolves to Yes'. This violates basic binary market logic.Polymarket:
Three separate binary markets with mutually exclusive outcomes: El Gaish Win (Yes/No), Draw (Yes/No), El Ahly Win (Yes/No). Only one outcome per market can resolve Yes. Includes standard postponement and cancellation clauses.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
Related events
Follow the signals, not the noise
Get insights on market conviction, notable shifts, and what the data is quietly signaling.
PredictionHero © 2026 · v0.15.0PredictionHero provides aggregated market data and informational signals only. Nothing on this site constitutes financial, legal, or investment advice. Markets are volatile and speculative. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always do your own research and consult qualified professionals before making decisions involving risk.