TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.7b
24H VOL:
$229,178,007
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,069,390
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,336,753,738
577,196
Markets across
14,485
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,077
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
A college basketball game between Syracuse Orange and Wake Forest Demon Deacons scheduled for February 28, 2026 at 5:45 PM ET. Markets cover moneyline (winner), point spreads at -3.5 and -4.5, and total points over/under 152.5.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi moneyline market contains a logical contradiction: both Syracuse win and Wake Forest win resolve to Yes, making the market unresolvable and eliminating the binary choice. This is a data integrity failure that prevents proper settlement.Hero Tip:
Do not trade the Kalshi market in its current form. Contact Kalshi support to clarify the intended resolution logic (likely a Yes/No on game completion, not outcome). Polymarket's moneyline, spread, and total markets are logically consistent and can be settled using official NCAA final scores including overtime.Critical Divergence Points:
Polymarket:
Four distinct markets with clear binary logic: (1) Moneyline resolves to winning team name; (2) Spread -4.5 resolves to Wake Forest if they win by 5+, else Syracuse; (3) O/U 152.5 resolves Over if combined score is 153+, else Under; (4) Spread -3.5 resolves to Wake Forest if they win by 4+, else Syracuse. All use final score including overtime. Postponement keeps market open; cancellation resolves 50-50.Kalshi:
Single market with logical contradiction: 'If Syracuse wins...resolves to Yes. If Wake Forest wins...resolves to Yes.' Both possible outcomes map to identical resolution value, eliminating the binary choice and making settlement impossible.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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