TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.7b
24H VOL:
$229,178,007
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,069,390
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,336,753,738
577,196
Markets across
14,485
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,077
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
A men's college basketball game between Syracuse Orange and Duke Blue Devils scheduled for February 16, 2026 at 7:00 PM ET at Duke. Multiple prediction markets track the moneyline winner, point spread outcomes, and total combined points scored.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi moneyline market contains a logical tautology where both Syracuse win and Duke win resolve to Yes, making the market fundamentally unresolvable and unable to differentiate outcomes. Additionally, Kalshi and Polymarket diverge on cancellation handling.Hero Tip:
Do not trade the Kalshi moneyline market. It is logically broken and will not settle correctly. Use Polymarket moneyline instead, which has clear binary outcomes. For spread and total markets, both platforms are consistent on game completion logic, but Polymarket explicitly handles cancellation (50-50 split), while Kalshi does not address it.Critical Divergence Points:
Kalshi:
Moneyline market states: 'If Syracuse wins... resolves to Yes' AND 'If Duke wins... resolves to Yes.' This is a logical tautology—both possible outcomes map to the same resolution (Yes), making it impossible to differentiate winners. No cancellation clause provided.Polymarket:
Moneyline resolves to 'Syracuse Orange' if Syracuse wins, 'Duke Blue Devils' if Duke wins. Clear binary outcomes. Cancellation with no makeup game resolves 50-50. Spread and total markets use consistent final-score logic including overtime.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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