Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)
All platforms resolve based on the official 90-minute match result (plus stoppage time) between Swansea City AFC and Southampton FC on April 18, 2026, with identical handling of postponements and cancellations across Polymarket and Kalshi.
Primary resolution logic:
Official EFL Championship statistics and governing body records, with fallback to credible reporting consensus if official statistics are not published within 2 hours of match conclusion.
Core resolution logic:
The three mutually exclusive outcomes are: Swansea City AFC wins, Southampton FC wins, or the match ends in a draw.
Each outcome resolves to YES on exactly one market per platform; all other outcome markets resolve to NO.
Resolution is based solely on the result after 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalties.
If the match is postponed, all markets remain open until the match is completed.
If the match is canceled with no make-up game, the draw market resolves YES on Polymarket; Swansea and Southampton win markets resolve NO on both platforms.
Edge cases & Clarifications:
Match Cancellation: On Polymarket, if the match is canceled entirely with no make-up game, the draw market resolves YES. On Kalshi, cancellation is not explicitly addressed, but the three outcome markets (Swansea win, Southampton win, Tie) collectively cover all logical possibilities, implying one must resolve YES.
Postponement and Rescheduling: Both platforms keep markets open if the match is postponed. Markets remain active until the rescheduled match is completed and the official result is recorded.
Source Timing Contingency: If the EFL does not publish official statistics within 2 hours of match conclusion, both platforms permit resolution based on consensus of credible reporting sources.
Timing:
Resolution occurs upon official publication of the final match result by the EFL or governing body within 2 hours of match conclusion, or immediately upon consensus credible reporting if official sources are delayed.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.