TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.9b
24H VOL:
$277,664,645
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,114,870
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,379,707,856
581,715
Markets across
14,439
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,118
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
In the upcoming Premier League game between Sunderland AFC and Nottingham Forest FC, scheduled for April 24, 2026 at 3:00 PM ET: This event contains halftime result markets for home, draw, and away outcomes within the first 45 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi market resolves YES for all three possible halftime outcomes (Sunderland win, Nottingham win, or draw), making it logically incoherent and fundamentally unresolvable. Polymarket offers three separate binary markets with mutually exclusive resolution logic.Hero Tip:
Avoid Kalshi entirely—its market structure is broken and will resolve YES regardless of the actual halftime result. Trade only on Polymarket's three distinct markets (Draw at halftime, Sunderland leading, Nottingham leading), which are logically sound and mutually exclusive.Critical Divergence Points:
Kalshi:
Market contains three resolution rules that all resolve to YES: 'If Nottingham wins...YES', 'If Tie...YES', 'If Sunderland wins...YES'. This creates a logical contradiction where the market resolves YES for every possible outcome, rendering it unresolvable and unsuitable for trading.Polymarket:
Three separate binary markets, each with mutually exclusive resolution logic: (1) Draw at halftime resolves YES only if halftime ends in a draw; (2) Sunderland leading resolves YES only if Sunderland wins the first half; (3) Nottingham leading resolves YES only if Nottingham wins the first half. Exactly one will resolve YES. Resolution source is official event statistics or credible reporting consensus within 24 hours; cancellation resolves NO.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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