TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.9b
24H VOL:
$249,705,498
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,069,390
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,354,509,605
579,516
Markets across
14,317
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,116
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Description
In the upcoming NHL game, scheduled for March 26 at 7:00PM ET: If the Stars win, the market will resolve to "Stars". If the Islanders win, the market will resolve to "Islanders". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods and shootouts. In the event of a shootout, one goal will be added to the winning team's score for the purpose of resolution.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi and Polymarket resolve on fundamentally different events. Kalshi resolves on a binary outcome (either team wins = YES), while Polymarket offers multiple distinct markets (moneyline, multiple over/under thresholds, and spread). Kalshi's logic is logically contradictory: both outcomes cannot simultaneously resolve to YES.Hero Tip:
Do not trade Kalshi's market as presented—it contains a logical error. If you must trade this group, focus on Polymarket's markets, which are internally consistent. Kalshi's market will likely require clarification or cancellation from the platform before settlement.Critical Divergence Points:
Kalshi:
Outlier: Kalshi's market states 'If NYI Islanders wins...then resolves to Yes' AND 'If DAL Stars wins...then resolves to Yes.' This is a logical contradiction—both outcomes cannot resolve to the same result. No other platform in this group shares this contradictory structure.Polymarket:
Distinct stance: Polymarket offers four separate, internally consistent markets: (1) Moneyline (Stars vs. Islanders), (2) Over/Under 5.5 goals, (3) Over/Under 6.5 goals, (4) Over/Under 4.5 goals, and (5) Over/Under 7.5 goals, plus (6) Spread (Stars -1.5). Each market resolves independently based on its own threshold or outcome. Polymarket's logic is logically sound and unambiguous.
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