TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.7b
24H VOL:
$229,178,007
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,069,390
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,336,753,738
577,196
Markets across
14,485
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,077
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers halftime results for the Ligue 1 match between Stade Rennais FC 1901 and FC Metz scheduled for March 22, 2026. Polymarket offers three separate binary markets (Rennais leading, Draw, Metz leading), while Kalshi presents a single market that resolves Yes for any halftime outcome. The core question is whether these structurally different market designs resolve consistently.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Market structure divergence: Polymarket uses three mutually exclusive binary markets while Kalshi uses a single omnibus market with three resolution paths. Both resolve based on identical halftime outcome criteria, but the trading mechanics and payout logic differ fundamentally.Hero Tip:
On Polymarket, you are choosing which single outcome occurs (exactly one market wins). On Kalshi, you are confirming that one of three outcomes will occur (the market always resolves Yes, but specifies which outcome). These require different trading strategies despite identical underlying event resolution.Critical Divergence Points:
Polymarket:
Three separate binary markets covering Rennais win, Draw, and Metz win at halftime. Exactly one resolves Yes; the other two resolve No. Resolution source is official governing body statistics within 24 hours, or credible reporting consensus if delayed. Postponement keeps market open; cancellation resolves No.Kalshi:
Single market with three conditional Yes-resolution paths: Rennais winner, Tie result, or Metz winner at halftime. Market always resolves Yes (specifying which outcome occurred). Uses identical halftime definition (45 minutes plus stoppage time) and same event scope.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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