TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.7b
24H VOL:
$229,178,007
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,069,390
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,336,753,738
577,196
Markets across
14,485
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,077
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
A college basketball game between St. John's Red Storm and Connecticut Huskies scheduled for February 25, 2026 at 7:00 PM ET. Markets cover moneyline (winner), point spreads at multiple thresholds (-5.5 and -6.5 for UConn), and total points over/under at multiple lines (144.5, 145.5, 146.5, 147.5).
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi's moneyline market contains a logical contradiction: both St. John's winning and UConn winning resolve to Yes, making the market fundamentally unresolvable and creating no path for a No resolution or cancellation handling.Hero Tip:
Avoid trading the Kalshi moneyline entirely due to critical logical flaw. All Polymarket markets (moneyline, spreads at -5.5 and -6.5, totals at 144.5/145.5/146.5/147.5) are coherent and resolvable. Polymarket is the reliable source for this event.Critical Divergence Points:
Polymarket:
Moneyline resolves to St. John's Red Storm if they win, Connecticut Huskies if they win, or 50-50 if game is canceled with no makeup. Spreads resolve based on margin of victory (UConn -5.5 requires 6+ point win; -6.5 requires 7+ point win). Totals resolve Over if combined score meets or exceeds threshold (144.5→145+, 145.5→146+, 146.5→147+, 147.5→148+), else Under. All include overtime in final score. Key Quote: 'If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.'Kalshi:
Moneyline market states both winning conditions resolve to Yes: 'If St. John's wins...resolves to Yes. If UConn wins...resolves to Yes.' This creates logical impossibility with no differentiation between outcomes and no explicit cancellation handling. Key Quote: 'If St. John's wins the St. John's at UConn men's college basketball game originally scheduled for Feb 25, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If UConn wins the St. John's at UConn men's college basketball game originally scheduled for Feb 25, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
Related events
Follow the signals, not the noise
Get insights on market conviction, notable shifts, and what the data is quietly signaling.
PredictionHero © 2026 · v0.15.0PredictionHero provides aggregated market data and informational signals only. Nothing on this site constitutes financial, legal, or investment advice. Markets are volatile and speculative. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always do your own research and consult qualified professionals before making decisions involving risk.