TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.7b
24H VOL:
$222,594,306
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,033,877
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,328,926,524
576,847
Markets across
14,568
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,055
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers the women's college basketball game between St. John's Red Storm and Butler Bulldogs scheduled for February 14, 2026 at 2:00 PM ET. The markets track the winner of this matchup, with resolution based on the final score including overtime.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi's resolution logic is internally contradictory: both possible game outcomes (St. John's win and Butler win) are mapped to the same resolution state (Yes), making the market logically unresolvable as a binary. Polymarket uses a standard categorical structure with distinct outcomes.Hero Tip:
Kalshi's market appears to have a specification error. Do not trade on Kalshi until clarification is provided. Polymarket's market is resolvable and uses industry-standard categorical logic. Prioritize Polymarket for this event.Critical Divergence Points:
Kalshi:
Binary market with both St. John's win and Butler win resolving to Yes. This is logically impossible for a competitive game outcome market. Quote: 'If St. John's wins... then the market resolves to Yes. If Butler wins... then the market resolves to Yes.'Polymarket:
Categorical market resolving to either 'St. John's Red Storm' or 'Butler Bulldogs' based on final score. Includes postponement (market stays open) and cancellation (50-50 split) edge cases. Quote: 'If the St. John's Red Storm win, the market will resolve to St. John's Red Storm. If the Butler Bulldogs win, the market will resolve to Butler Bulldogs.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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