TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$129,159,707

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,442,132,418

404,744

Markets across

30,489

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,691

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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SS Lazio vs. US Sassuolo Calcio - More Markets
kalshi
polymarket

SS Lazio vs. US Sassuolo Calcio - More Markets

Volume:
$431,011

O/U 2.5

 - Polymarket

O/U 2.5 - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Mar 10, 2026

Closed: Mar 9, 3:45 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

O/U 2.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$135,471
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Both Teams to Score

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$85,699
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 1.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$9,796
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 3.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$149,737
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

O/U 4.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$21,055
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

SS Lazio (-2.5)

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$10,680
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Lazio wins by over 2.5 goals

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$314
N/A
N/A
$260
Settled
No
polymarket

SS Lazio (-1.5)

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$6,140
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Lazio wins by over 1.5 goals

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,076
N/A
N/A
$1,880
Settled
No
polymarket

US Sassuolo Calcio (-1.5)

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$4,104
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Sassuolo wins by over 1.5 goals

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,037
N/A
N/A
$1,815
Settled
No
polymarket

US Sassuolo Calcio (-2.5)

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,102
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Sassuolo wins by over 2.5 goals

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$800
N/A
N/A
$800
Settled
No
Total markets: 13

Description

This event group covers SS Lazio vs. US Sassuolo Calcio, a Serie A professional soccer match scheduled for March 9, 2026. The markets span multiple spread thresholds, over/under goal totals, and both-teams-to-score outcomes, all resolving based on the final score after 90 minutes plus stoppage time.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi markets use symmetric threshold logic (either team exceeding a goal margin triggers YES), while Polymarket uses directional spread logic (one specific team must win by that margin). This creates different resolution outcomes for identical match results.Hero tip: Understand that Kalshi's YES outcome requires EITHER team to exceed the threshold, whereas Polymarket's YES requires a SPECIFIC team to win by that margin. A 2-1 Lazio win triggers Kalshi Market 1 (more than 1.5 goals by either team) but only Polymarket's Lazio (-1.5) spread. Cross-platform arbitrage requires careful threshold mapping.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Directional spread markets: Lazio (-2.5) YES if Lazio wins by 3+; Lazio (-1.5) YES if Lazio wins by 2+; Sassuolo (-1.5) YES if Sassuolo wins by 2+; Sassuolo (-2.5) YES if Sassuolo wins by 3+. Over/Under markets: O/U 1.5 (2+ goals combined), O/U 2.5 (3+ goals), O/U 3.5 (4+ goals), O/U 4.5 (5+ goals). Both Teams to Score: YES if each team scores 1+. Key Quote: 'This market will resolve to SS Lazio if SS Lazio win the game by 3 or more goals. Otherwise, this market will resolve to US Sassuolo Calcio.'
  • Kalshi: Symmetric threshold markets: Market 1 YES if Sassuolo wins by more than 1.5 goals OR Lazio wins by more than 1.5 goals (2+ by either team). Market 2 YES if Sassuolo wins by more than 2.5 goals OR Lazio wins by more than 2.5 goals (3+ by either team). No explicit Over/Under or Both Teams to Score markets in Kalshi source data. Key Quote: 'If Sassuolo wins by more than 1.5 goals in the Sassuolo at Lazio professional Serie A soccer game... then the market resolves to Yes. If Lazio wins by more than 1.5 goals... then the market resolves to Yes.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.