TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.9b
24H VOL:
$249,705,498
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,069,390
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,354,509,605
579,516
Markets across
14,317
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,116
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This market resolves based on the outcome of the NBA game between the San Antonio Spurs and Golden State Warriors scheduled for April 1 at 10:00 PM ET. The winner is determined by the final score including any overtime periods, with the market resolving to either 'Spurs' or 'Warriors' accordingly.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi's moneyline market (items 1-2) resolves YES for ANY outcome (Spurs win OR Warriors win), creating a logical contradiction that makes the market fundamentally unresolvable. Polymarket's markets resolve on specific, mutually exclusive outcomes with clear resolution criteria.Hero Tip:
Avoid Kalshi's moneyline market entirely — it is logically broken and will resolve YES regardless of game outcome. All other markets (Polymarket spreads, player props, totals) use standard, resolvable logic. If you have exposure to Kalshi items 1-2, seek clarification or cancellation before April 1.Critical Divergence Points:
Kalshi:
Outlier: Kalshi's moneyline (items 1-2) states 'If San Antonio wins... then the market resolves to Yes' AND 'If Golden State wins... then the market resolves to Yes', meaning the market resolves YES for both possible outcomes. This is a logical contradiction that violates basic market design. Key quote: 'If San Antonio wins the San Antonio at Golden State professional basketball game originally scheduled for Apr 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Golden State wins the San Antonio at Golden State professional basketball game originally scheduled for Apr 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.'Polymarket:
Aligned with standard market logic: Polymarket's moneyline (item 1) resolves to 'Spurs' if Spurs win and 'Warriors' if Warriors win — mutually exclusive outcomes. All Polymarket prop markets (items 3-87) use clear thresholds, binary outcomes, and standard resolution sources (official NBA box scores, halftime scores). Key quote: 'If the Spurs win, the market will resolve to Spurs. If the Warriors win, the market will resolve to Warriors.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
Related events
Follow the signals, not the noise
Get insights on market conviction, notable shifts, and what the data is quietly signaling.
PredictionHero © 2026 · v0.15.0PredictionHero provides aggregated market data and informational signals only. Nothing on this site constitutes financial, legal, or investment advice. Markets are volatile and speculative. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always do your own research and consult qualified professionals before making decisions involving risk.