TOTAL VOLUME:

$138.5b

24H VOL:

$107,983,626

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,511,311,155

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,548,874,187

473,242

Markets across

36,541

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,900

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Spurs vs. Bucks
polymarket
kalshi

Spurs vs. Bucks

Volume:
$10,204,496

Spread -17.5

 - Polymarket

Spread -17.5 - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Mar 29, 2026

Closed: Mar 28, 3:00 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Spread -17.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,769,347
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

San Antonio

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,379,208
N/A
N/A
$1,182,903
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -18.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$478,606
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -19.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$214,367
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -16.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$34,807
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

1H Spread -10.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,946
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Victor Wembanyama: Rebounds O/U 11.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,557
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

1H Moneyline

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$888
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Myles Turner: Rebounds O/U 4.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$818
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

De'Aaron Fox: Assists O/U 5.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$561
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Myles Turner: Assists O/U 0.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$490
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Stephon Castle: Points O/U 16.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$487
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Devin Vassell: Points O/U 12.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$473
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Stephon Castle: Assists O/U 7.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$471
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Stephon Castle: Rebounds O/U 4.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$386
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Victor Wembanyama: Assists O/U 3.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$300
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Keldon Johnson: Points O/U 12.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$286
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Dylan Harper: Points O/U 13.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$261
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Devin Vassell: Rebounds O/U 3.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$162
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Ousmane Dieng: Rebounds O/U 5.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$136
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Ousmane Dieng: Assists O/U 3.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$106
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spurs vs. Bucks

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$2,387,700
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Milwaukee

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,362,543
N/A
N/A
$2,139,266
Settled
No
polymarket

O/U 226.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,063,317
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

O/U 225.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$293,157
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 25 of 44

Description

In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for March 28 at 3:00PM ET: If the Spurs win, the market will resolve to "Spurs". If the Bucks win, the market will resolve to "Bucks". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Polymarket and Kalshi have fundamentally incompatible resolution scopes. Polymarket markets resolve on specific game outcomes (moneyline, spread, totals, player props), while Kalshi's market resolves YES if either team wins, making it logically impossible to distinguish between outcomes and rendering it unresolvable as a prediction market.Hero tip: Do not trade across these platforms expecting consistent outcomes. Polymarket offers granular, resolvable markets (e.g., Spurs moneyline, specific spreads, player performance). Kalshi's market is structurally broken—it resolves YES regardless of which team wins, so there is no NO outcome. Avoid Kalshi entirely for this event group.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Aligned with standard sports betting logic: Polymarket offers 26 distinct, mutually exclusive markets covering moneyline (Spurs vs. Bucks), multiple spread thresholds (-16.5, -17.5, -18.5, -19.5), totals (O/U 225.5, 226.5, 227.5), first-half outcomes, and 30+ player prop markets (points, rebounds, assists). Each market resolves to a single outcome (YES or NO) based on final box score from NBA.com. Example: 'This market will resolve to Spurs if the Spurs win the game by 18 or more points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to Bucks.'
  • Kalshi: Outlier: Kalshi provides a single binary market with a logical contradiction. The resolution rule states 'If Milwaukee wins...then the market resolves to Yes' AND 'If San Antonio wins...then the market resolves to Yes.' This means the market resolves YES in all possible outcomes (either team winning), leaving no NO resolution path. This violates basic binary market structure and makes the market unresolvable.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.