TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.9b
24H VOL:
$249,705,498
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,069,390
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,354,509,605
579,516
Markets across
14,317
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,116
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event is for the upcoming UEFA Champions League game, scheduled for Tuesday, April 7, 2026 between Sporting CP and Arsenal FC.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Polymarket structures three mutually exclusive binary markets (Sporting CP win, Arsenal FC win, draw), while Kalshi presents three non-mutually-exclusive YES/NO markets that all resolve YES regardless of outcome. Kalshi's structure is logically contradictory and unresolvable.Hero Tip:
Do not trade Kalshi markets in this group. Kalshi's three markets will all resolve YES simultaneously after the match concludes, making them worthless for prediction. Polymarket's three markets are mutually exclusive and properly structured — exactly one will resolve YES. Trade only on Polymarket.Critical Divergence Points:
Polymarket:
Outlier: Polymarket creates three mutually exclusive binary markets where exactly one resolves YES based on the match outcome (Sporting CP win, Arsenal FC win, or draw). Each market explicitly resolves NO for all other outcomes. Key quote: 'If Sporting CP wins, this market will resolve to Yes. Otherwise, this market will resolve to No.'Kalshi:
Outlier: Kalshi presents three markets that all resolve YES regardless of match outcome. Market 1 resolves YES if Sporting CP wins OR if Tie wins OR if Arsenal wins. Markets 2 and 3 repeat the same logic. Key quote: 'If Sporting CP wins... then the market resolves to Yes. If Tie wins... then the market resolves to Yes. If Arsenal wins... then the market resolves to Yes.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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