TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.7b
24H VOL:
$229,178,007
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,069,390
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,336,753,738
577,196
Markets across
14,485
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,077
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a men's college basketball game between Southern Utah Thunderbirds and UT Arlington Mavericks scheduled for March 12, 2026 at 9:00 PM ET. Markets span moneyline (winner), spread (-5.5 UT Arlington), and multiple over/under total points thresholds across Kalshi and Polymarket platforms.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi publishes 11 distinct over/under markets with different point thresholds (126.5 through 156.5) for the same game, while Polymarket offers only two O/U markets (140.5 and 141.5). This creates multiple resolution paths and potential confusion about which threshold applies to a given trader's position.Hero Tip:
Identify your specific Kalshi market threshold before settlement. Cross-check the final combined score against both Polymarket's 140.5 and 141.5 benchmarks to understand how your position resolves. Use NCAA.com as the authoritative final score source and confirm overtime is included.Critical Divergence Points:
Polymarket:
Moneyline resolves to winner based on final score including overtime; Spread (-5.5 UT Arlington) resolves Yes if UT Arlington wins by 6+ points; O/U 140.5 resolves Over if combined score is 141+; O/U 141.5 resolves Over if combined score is 142+. Cancellation without makeup = 50-50 resolution.Kalshi:
11 separate over/under markets, each resolving Yes if combined score exceeds the stated threshold (126.5, 129.5, 132.5, 135.5, 138.5, 141.5, 144.5, 147.5, 150.5, 153.5, 156.5). No explicit cancellation clause provided; source is NCAA.com.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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