TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.7b
24H VOL:
$229,178,007
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,069,390
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,336,753,738
577,196
Markets across
14,485
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,077
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
A college basketball game between Southern University Jaguars and Texas Southern University Tigers scheduled for February 16, 2026 at 8:00 PM ET. Markets cover moneyline (winner), point spread (-2.5 and -3.5), and total points over/under (151.5, 152.5, and 153.5).
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi's moneyline market contains a logical contradiction where both possible outcomes (Texas Southern wins OR Southern wins) are mapped to the same resolution (Yes), making the market fundamentally unresolvable. Polymarket provides properly structured binary outcomes.Hero Tip:
Do not trade the Kalshi moneyline market. It will fail to resolve correctly regardless of the game outcome. Use Polymarket's moneyline (Southern Jaguars vs Texas Southern Tigers) for reliable binary settlement. Spread and total markets are safe on both platforms.Critical Divergence Points:
Kalshi:
Moneyline market has both outcomes resolving to Yes. Logic: Texas Southern win = Yes, Southern win = Yes. This creates an impossible resolution state. Quote: 'If Texas Southern wins the Southern University at Texas Southern men's college basketball game originally scheduled for Feb 16, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Southern University wins...then the market resolves to Yes.'Polymarket:
Moneyline market uses proper binary outcomes: Southern Jaguars win resolves to 'Southern Jaguars', Texas Southern Tigers win resolves to 'Texas Southern Tigers'. Includes explicit edge case handling: postponement keeps market open, cancellation without makeup resolves 50-50. Quote: 'If the Southern Jaguars win, the market will resolve to Southern Jaguars. If the Texas Southern Tigers win, the market will resolve to Texas Southern Tigers. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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