TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.8b
24H VOL:
$257,828,392
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,069,390
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,354,664,501
579,454
Markets across
14,299
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,106
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This market resolves based on the outcome of the women's college basketball game between South Dakota State Jackrabbits and Washington Huskies scheduled for March 20, 2026 at 2:30 PM ET. The winner of the game determines the market resolution, with the final score including any overtime periods as the authoritative result.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Polymarket and Kalshi use fundamentally incompatible resolution logic. Polymarket resolves to the winning team name (binary: South Dakota State OR Washington), while Kalshi resolves to YES for either team winning, creating a logical contradiction where Kalshi's market cannot distinguish between outcomes.Hero Tip:
Do not trade across these platforms assuming equivalent payoffs. On Polymarket, you are betting on a specific team winner. On Kalshi, the market resolves YES regardless of which team wins, making it functionally a bet on 'game completion' rather than a team outcome. This is a critical structural mismatch.Critical Divergence Points:
Polymarket:
Outlier: Resolves to the name of the winning team. The market outcome is binary and mutually exclusive: it resolves to 'South Dakota State Jackrabbits' if South Dakota State wins, or 'Washington Huskies' if Washington wins. Key quote: 'If the South Dakota State Jackrabbits win, the market will resolve to South Dakota State Jackrabbits. If the Washington Huskies win, the market will resolve to Washington Huskies.'Kalshi:
Outlier: Resolves to YES for either team winning. Both 'If Washington wins' and 'If South Dakota St. wins' resolve to YES, meaning the market cannot differentiate between the two outcomes. Key quote: 'If Washington wins...then the market resolves to Yes. If South Dakota St. wins...then the market resolves to Yes.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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