TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.7b
24H VOL:
$229,178,007
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,069,390
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,336,753,738
577,196
Markets across
14,485
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,077
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a Swiss National League (SNHL) ice hockey match between SC Langnau Tigers and ZSC Lions scheduled for March 9, 2026. Markets across Polymarket and Kalshi are pricing the outcome of this single game, with resolution tied to the final score including overtime and shootout results.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi market contains a logical contradiction: both possible outcomes (Tigers win OR Lions win) resolve to Yes, making the market non-discriminatory and unresolvable. Polymarket correctly structures a binary winner-take-all resolution.Hero Tip:
Kalshi's market design is broken and should not be traded. The Polymarket version is the only viable instrument for this event. If you hold Kalshi positions, seek clarification from the platform before settlement.Critical Divergence Points:
Polymarket:
Binary winner resolution: market resolves to either 'SCL Tigers' or 'ZSC Lions' based on final score including overtime/shootout. Includes edge case handling for postponement (market remains open) and cancellation (50-50 split). Source: Swiss National League official records.Kalshi:
Contradictory dual-outcome resolution: market resolves to Yes if Tigers win AND also resolves to Yes if Lions win. No explicit No outcome defined. This creates a market that cannot differentiate between outcomes.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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