TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.7b
24H VOL:
$229,178,007
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,069,390
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,336,753,738
577,196
Markets across
14,485
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,077
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers the Swiss National League ice hockey match between HC Lugano and EHC Biel scheduled for February 24, 2026. Markets across Polymarket and Kalshi are designed to resolve based on the final outcome of this professional hockey game.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi market contains a logical contradiction where both possible game outcomes (Biel win and Lugano win) resolve to Yes, making the market unresolvable and eliminating all predictive value. This is a data integrity failure at the platform level.Hero Tip:
Do not trade on Kalshi. The market is logically broken - it will resolve to Yes regardless of which team wins, making it impossible to express a directional view. Polymarket is the only viable venue for this event.Critical Divergence Points:
Polymarket:
Proper binary structure: Lugano victory resolves to Lugano, Biel victory resolves to Biel. Includes edge case handling for postponement (market stays open) and cancellation (50-50 split). Final score includes overtime and shootouts with synthetic goal added for shootout winners.Kalshi:
Critical logical error: Both outcomes (EHC Biel wins OR HC Lugano wins) resolve to Yes. This creates a tautology where the market always resolves Yes regardless of actual game result, eliminating all market function.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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