TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.9b
24H VOL:
$249,705,498
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,069,390
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,354,509,605
579,516
Markets across
14,317
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,116
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers the outcome of the Slovakia vs. Romania international friendly soccer match scheduled for March 31, 2026. The market resolves based on the final result after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, determining whether Slovakia wins, Romania wins, or the match ends in a tie.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi's market structure is logically incoherent: all three outcome markets (Slovakia wins, Romania wins, Tie) resolve to YES independently, making it impossible for exactly one to resolve YES as required in a mutually exclusive event. Polymarket correctly structures three mutually exclusive markets (Slovakia win, Romania win, draw) where only one can resolve YES.Hero Tip:
Do not trade Kalshi's Slovakia vs Romania markets. The resolution rules are contradictory—Kalshi states that if Slovakia wins the market resolves YES, if Romania wins the market resolves YES, and if Tie occurs the market resolves YES. This violates basic logic for a single-outcome sporting event. Polymarket's three separate markets (Slovakia win, Romania win, draw) are correctly structured and mutually exclusive. Trade only on Polymarket for this event.Critical Divergence Points:
Kalshi:
Outlier: Kalshi presents three separate markets but assigns identical resolution logic to all three outcomes. Each market states 'resolves to Yes' for its respective outcome (Slovakia wins, Romania wins, or Tie), creating a logical impossibility where all three markets would resolve YES simultaneously. This violates the fundamental constraint that exactly one outcome occurs in a soccer match. Key quote: 'If Slovakia wins...then the market resolves to Yes. If Romania wins...then the market resolves to Yes. If Tie wins...then the market resolves to Yes.'Polymarket:
Aligned with sound market design: Polymarket structures three mutually exclusive markets where only one can resolve YES. Market 1 resolves YES only if draw occurs (NO otherwise). Market 2 resolves YES only if Romania wins (NO otherwise). Market 3 resolves YES only if Slovakia wins (NO otherwise). This ensures exactly one outcome resolves YES per match result. Key quote: 'If the game ends in a draw, this market will resolve to Yes. Otherwise, this market will resolve to No' and 'If Romania wins, this market will resolve to Yes. Otherwise, this market will resolve to No.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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