TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.8b
24H VOL:
$236,615,189
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,069,390
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,344,513,070
577,941
Markets across
14,530
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,090
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers the women's college basketball game between SIUE Cougars (SIU Edwardsville) and UT Martin Skyhawks (Tennessee-Martin) scheduled for March 4, 2026 at 3:00 PM ET. Markets across platforms are betting on the winner of this single game.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi's resolution logic is internally contradictory: both possible game outcomes (SIU win or UT Martin win) are mapped to the same resolution state (Yes), making the market logically unresolvable. Polymarket uses correct binary logic with distinct outcomes for each team.Hero Tip:
Do not trade Kalshi's version until the platform corrects the resolution criteria. The market as stated cannot distinguish between the two possible outcomes. Polymarket's market is the only logically sound version available.Critical Divergence Points:
Polymarket:
Correct binary structure with two distinct outcomes. SIUE Cougars win resolves to 'SIUE Cougars'; UT Martin Skyhawks win resolves to 'UT Martin Skyhawks'. Postponements keep market open; cancellations resolve 50-50. Resolution based on final score including overtime.Kalshi:
Defective binary logic: both SIU Edwardsville winning AND Tennessee-Martin winning are stated to resolve to Yes, creating a logical impossibility. The market cannot distinguish between outcomes as currently written.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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