A college basketball game between SIUE Cougars and Tennessee State Tigers scheduled for February 21, 2026 at 2:00 PM ET. Markets cover moneyline (winner), point spreads at -3.5 and -4.5, and total points over/under 143.5.
Kalshi market has a logical contradiction: both possible game outcomes (either team winning) resolve to Yes, making the market unresolvable and the No outcome impossible. This is a data integrity failure.
Hero Tip:
Treat Kalshi's market as non-functional. All trading activity should reference Polymarket's clearly defined moneyline, spread, and total markets. Request clarification from Kalshi on whether the market should resolve Yes only for a specific team or if there is a missing No condition.
Critical Divergence Points:
Polymarket:
Four distinct markets with mutually exclusive outcomes: (1) Moneyline - winner takes all; (2) Spread -3.5 - Tennessee State Yes if win by 4+, otherwise SIUE; (3) O/U 143.5 - Over if combined 144+, Under if less; (4) Spread -4.5 - Tennessee State Yes if win by 5+, otherwise SIUE. All include postponement hold and cancellation 50-50 split. Key Quote: 'The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.'
Kalshi:
Single market with logical failure: states 'If SIU Edwardsville wins...resolves to Yes' AND 'If Tennessee St. wins...resolves to Yes', guaranteeing Yes outcome regardless of game result. No condition for No resolution exists. Key Quote: 'If SIU Edwardsville wins the...game...then the market resolves to Yes. If Tennessee St. wins the...game...then the market resolves to Yes.'
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