TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.7b
24H VOL:
$229,178,007
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,069,390
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,336,753,738
577,196
Markets across
14,485
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,077
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
A men's college basketball game between Siena Saints and Marist Red Foxes scheduled for February 15, 2026 at 2:00 PM ET. Markets cover moneyline (winner), spread (-1.5 Marist), and total points (O/U 134.5 and O/U 133.5).
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi moneyline markets contain a logical contradiction where both possible outcomes (Siena win and Marist win) are mapped to the same resolution value (Yes), making the market fundamentally unresolvable. Polymarket and spread/total markets across both platforms use consistent, unambiguous logic.Hero Tip:
Do not trade the Kalshi moneyline markets for this event. The logical error makes settlement impossible. Polymarket moneyline is the reliable alternative. All spread and total markets (Polymarket) are consistent and resolvable based on final score including overtime.Critical Divergence Points:
Kalshi:
Moneyline markets contain critical logical error: 'If Siena wins...resolves to Yes' AND 'If Marist wins...resolves to Yes'. Both outcomes map to identical resolution, creating unresolvable contradiction.Polymarket:
Moneyline resolves to 'Siena Saints' if Siena wins, 'Marist Red Foxes' if Marist wins. Spread market resolves to 'Marist Red Foxes' if Marist wins by 2+ points, else 'Siena Saints'. Totals (O/U 134.5 and O/U 133.5) resolve Over/Under based on combined score threshold. All logic is consistent and unambiguous.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
Related events
Follow the signals, not the noise
Get insights on market conviction, notable shifts, and what the data is quietly signaling.
PredictionHero © 2026 · v0.15.0PredictionHero provides aggregated market data and informational signals only. Nothing on this site constitutes financial, legal, or investment advice. Markets are volatile and speculative. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always do your own research and consult qualified professionals before making decisions involving risk.