TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.9b
24H VOL:
$277,664,645
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,114,870
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,379,707,856
581,715
Markets across
14,439
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,118
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Description
In the upcoming SHL game, scheduled for April 16 at 1:00PM ET: If Vaexjoe win, the market will resolve to "Vaexjoe". If Roegle win, the market will resolve to "Roegle". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods and shootouts. In the event of a shootout, one goal will be added to the winning team's score for the purpose of resolution.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi market contains a logical contradiction: it resolves YES if EITHER team wins, making all outcomes resolve to YES. This is fundamentally unresolvable and contradicts Polymarket's binary winner-determination logic.Hero Tip:
Do not trade the Kalshi market. The resolution rule states 'If Rogle BK wins...then YES' AND 'If Växjö Lakers wins...then YES', meaning the market cannot resolve NO under any circumstance. Polymarket's binary logic (Vaexjoe vs. Roegle) is the only coherent market in this group.Critical Divergence Points:
Polymarket:
Binary winner-determination: market resolves to either 'Vaexjoe' or 'Roegle' based on final score including overtime/shootout. Postponement keeps market open; cancellation without makeup resolves 50-50.Kalshi:
Logical contradiction in resolution rules: 'If Rogle BK wins...then YES' AND 'If Växjö Lakers wins...then YES'. Both outcomes map to YES, leaving no path to NO resolution. This violates binary market structure.
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