TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.9b
24H VOL:
$249,705,498
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,069,390
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,354,509,605
579,516
Markets across
14,317
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,116
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a professional SHL (Swedish Hockey League) matchup between Rogle BK and Växjö Lakers scheduled for April 14, 2026 at 1:00 PM EDT. Both Kalshi and Polymarket are offering prediction markets on the outcome of this single game, with resolution based on the final score including overtime and shootouts.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi's resolution logic (both outcomes resolve to Yes) is logically contradictory and suggests either a data integrity failure or a fundamentally different market question than Polymarket's categorical winner-pick structure. This makes Kalshi's market unresolvable as stated.Hero Tip:
Do not trade these markets as equivalent. Request clarification from Kalshi on whether the market is asking whether the game occurs, or if there is a data entry error. Polymarket's market is clearly resolvable as a winner-pick categorical outcome. Treat Kalshi as unreliable until the contradiction is resolved.Critical Divergence Points:
Kalshi:
Binary resolution where both Växjö Lakers win and Rogle BK win resolve to Yes. No edge case handling provided. Quote: If Växjö Lakers wins the game, resolves to Yes. If Rogle BK wins the game, resolves to Yes.Polymarket:
Categorical resolution where Roegle win resolves to Roegle and Vaexjoe win resolves to Vaexjoe. Includes postponement (market remains open) and cancellation (50-50 split) handling. Quote: If Roegle win, resolves to Roegle. If Vaexjoe win, resolves to Vaexjoe. If canceled with no make-up, resolves 50-50.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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