TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.7b
24H VOL:
$229,178,007
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,069,390
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,336,753,738
577,196
Markets across
14,485
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,077
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a professional SHL (Swedish Hockey League) match between Leksands IF and Oerebro HK scheduled for February 21, 2026. Markets on Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the same underlying game outcome, with resolution based on the final score including overtime and shootout rules.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi market contains a logical contradiction: both possible game outcomes (Leksands IF win and Oerebro HK win) are mapped to the same resolution state (Yes), leaving no valid resolution path to No and making the market fundamentally unresolvable.Hero Tip:
Avoid trading on Kalshi until the market is corrected. The Polymarket version is logically sound and should be your primary reference. Kalshi's market design violates basic binary logic and cannot be settled fairly as currently written.Critical Divergence Points:
Polymarket:
Clean binary outcome structure with three defined states: Leksands IF (win), Oerebro HK (win), or 50-50 (cancellation). Postponements keep market open. Quote: 'If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.'Kalshi:
Defective binary structure mapping both possible outcomes to Yes. No resolution path to No is defined. Quote: 'If Leksands IF wins... resolves to Yes. If HC Orebro wins... resolves to Yes.' This creates logical impossibility.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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