TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.7b
24H VOL:
$229,178,007
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,069,390
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,336,753,738
577,196
Markets across
14,485
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,077
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a professional SHL (Swedish Hockey League) match between HV 71 and Leksands IF scheduled for March 18, 2026. Markets on Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the winner of this single game, with different resolution mechanics across platforms.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi market contains a logical contradiction: both possible game outcomes (HV71 win and Leksands IF win) are stated to resolve to Yes, making the market fundamentally unresolvable as written. Polymarket uses standard binary winner resolution.Hero Tip:
Avoid trading Kalshi until the platform clarifies whether this is a Yes/No on game completion, a two-leg structure, or a winner-specific binary. Polymarket's market is resolvable and should be treated as the reference standard.Critical Divergence Points:
Polymarket:
Binary winner-take-all resolution. Resolves to 'HV 71' if HV 71 wins, 'Leksands IF' if Leksands IF wins. Postponement keeps market open; cancellation without makeup resolves 50-50. Shootout adds one goal to winner's score for resolution purposes.Kalshi:
Contradictory dual-Yes logic. States both 'If HV71 wins...resolves to Yes' and 'If Leksands IF wins...resolves to Yes', creating an impossible resolution state since only one team can win the game.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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