TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.9b
24H VOL:
$277,664,645
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,114,870
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,379,707,856
581,715
Markets across
14,439
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,118
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event is for the upcoming Chinese Super League game, scheduled for Tuesday, April 21, 2026 between Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC and Beijing Guoan FC.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi market structure is logically contradictory and unresolvable. It requires the market to resolve YES for all three mutually exclusive outcomes (Shenzhen win, Beijing win, or tie), which violates the fundamental principle that exactly one outcome can occur in a single match.Hero Tip:
Do not trade the Kalshi market. The resolution logic is broken—it will resolve YES regardless of the match result, making it impossible to lose. Stick to Polymarket, which has coherent binary markets for each outcome.Critical Divergence Points:
Polymarket:
Three separate binary markets, each resolving YES or NO based on a single outcome. Market 1: Shenzhen wins → YES, else NO. Market 2: Draw → YES, else NO. Market 3: Beijing wins → YES, else NO. Exactly one market resolves YES. Resolution source: official CSL statistics or credible consensus within 2 hours post-match.Kalshi:
Single market with three resolution conditions, each stating 'If [outcome] occurs, then the market resolves to Yes.' This means: If Shenzhen wins → YES. If Beijing wins → YES. If Tie occurs → YES. Since one of these three outcomes must occur, the market always resolves YES, making it logically impossible to resolve NO.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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