TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.7b
24H VOL:
$229,178,007
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,069,390
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,336,753,738
577,196
Markets across
14,485
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,077
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers the San Jose Sharks vs. Buffalo Sabres NHL game scheduled for March 10, 2026 at 7:00 PM ET. Markets span moneyline (winner), multiple over/under total goals thresholds (2.5 through 9.5), and a point spread bet. Resolution depends on the final combined goal count and game outcome.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi and Polymarket use different phrasing conventions for over/under thresholds, creating a systematic one-goal offset in resolution triggers. Additionally, Polymarket explicitly adds one goal to the winning team's score in shootout scenarios, while Kalshi does not clarify this rule.Hero Tip:
When the final combined goal total is within 1 of any threshold (e.g., 4, 5, 6, 7, 8, 9 goals), manually verify resolution against both platform definitions. Shootout outcomes require special attention: Polymarket artificially inflates the winner's goal count by 1, which may push an O/U market in a different direction than Kalshi's interpretation.Critical Divergence Points:
Kalshi:
Eight separate over/under markets at thresholds 2.5, 3.5, 4.5, 5.5, 6.5, 7.5, 8.5, and 9.5. Each resolves YES if the combined goal total exceeds the stated threshold (e.g., 'over 3.5' = 4+ goals). No explicit shootout goal-counting rule provided.Polymarket:
Five markets: moneyline (Sharks vs. Sabres winner), O/U 4.5 (Over = 5+ goals), O/U 5.5 (Over = 6+ goals), O/U 6.5 (Over = 7+ goals), O/U 7.5 (Over = 8+ goals), and Sabres -1.5 spread. Explicitly states: 'In the event of a shootout, one goal will be added to the winning team's score for the purpose of resolution.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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