TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.7b
24H VOL:
$229,178,007
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,069,390
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,336,753,738
577,196
Markets across
14,485
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,077
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers an NHL game between the San Jose Sharks and Montreal Canadiens scheduled for March 14, 2026 at 7:00 PM ET. Markets span moneyline (winner), spread betting (Canadiens -1.5), and total goals over/under at multiple thresholds (4.5, 5.5, 6.5, 7.5), plus Kalshi's goal-differential markets.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi and Polymarket measure different dimensions of the same game. Kalshi focuses on goal differential (margin of victory); Polymarket focuses on total goals and moneyline outcome. No logical contradiction exists, but traders must understand they are betting on distinct settlement values.Hero Tip:
Do not assume Kalshi and Polymarket markets will move in lockstep. A high-scoring game (e.g., 5-2) can satisfy multiple Polymarket totals (O/U 4.5, 5.5, 6.5) and Kalshi margin markets simultaneously, but a low-scoring 2-1 game satisfies only Kalshi margin markets and lower Polymarket totals. Cross-platform arbitrage is possible if odds diverge significantly. Always verify the official NHL.com final score and confirm shootout handling with your platform before settlement.Critical Divergence Points:
Kalshi:
Four binary markets on goal differential. Resolves YES if Montreal wins by >2.5 or >1.5 goals, OR if San Jose wins by >1.5 or >2.5 goals. Resolves NO otherwise. Key Quote: 'If [Team] wins by over X.5 goals in the San Jose at Montreal professional hockey game originally scheduled for Mar 14, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.'Polymarket:
Six markets: moneyline (Sharks vs Canadiens winner), spread (Canadiens -1.5 = Canadiens win by 2+), and totals (O/U 4.5, 5.5, 6.5, 7.5 combined goals). Moneyline resolves to winner; spread resolves to Canadiens if win margin >= 2, else Sharks; totals resolve Over if combined goals >= threshold, else Under. Key Quote: 'This market will resolve to [Over/Under] if the Sharks and Canadiens combine to score [threshold] or more goals in this game.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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