TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.8b
24H VOL:
$257,828,392
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,069,390
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,354,664,501
579,454
Markets across
14,299
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,106
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a Chinese Super League match between Shandong Taishan FC and Beijing Guoan FC scheduled for March 14, 2026. Three prediction markets across Polymarket and Kalshi track the outcome: whether Shandong wins, Beijing wins, or the match ends in a draw, all measured within 90 minutes plus stoppage time.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Polymarket's cancellation rules are internally contradictory and incompatible with Kalshi's three-outcome framework. A full cancellation with no make-up game would resolve Polymarket's draw market to YES but both win markets to NO—an impossible outcome state. Kalshi provides no cancellation guidance, creating unresolvable ambiguity.Hero Tip:
This is a critical data integrity failure. Do not trade these markets until both platforms explicitly align their cancellation logic. Request written confirmation from Polymarket that cancellation rules are intentional and from Kalshi that cancellation defaults to NO for all three markets. The current state makes at least one platform's market fundamentally unresolvable in a cancellation scenario.Critical Divergence Points:
Polymarket:
Draw market: If canceled entirely with no make-up, resolves YES. Win markets: If canceled entirely with no make-up, resolve NO. This creates a logical contradiction where a single event (cancellation) produces mutually exclusive outcomes across related markets. Key quote: 'If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to Yes' (draw) vs. 'this market will resolve No' (wins).Kalshi:
Three separate binary markets (Shandong win, Beijing win, Tie) with no explicit cancellation clause. Implicitly assumes the game will be played. If canceled, the resolution path is undefined—does the tie market resolve YES (because a tie occurred in the sense of no winner), or do all three resolve NO (because no game was played)? Key quote: 'If Tie wins the...game...then the market resolves to Yes' with no contingency for cancellation.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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