TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.8b
24H VOL:
$236,615,189
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,069,390
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,344,513,070
577,941
Markets across
14,530
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,090
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers an NHL matchup between the Ottawa Senators and Toronto Maple Leafs scheduled for February 28, 2026 at 7:00 PM ET. Markets include moneyline (winner), multiple over/under total goals markets (4.5, 5.5, 6.5, 7.5), and spread markets (-1.5 for each team). Resolution depends on final regulation and overtime scoring, with shootout goals counted as one additional goal for the winning team.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi moneyline market contains a logical contradiction: both Senators win and Maple Leafs win are stated to resolve to 'Yes', making the market unresolvable as a binary outcome. This is a data integrity failure that prevents proper settlement.Hero Tip:
Do not trade the Kalshi moneyline until clarification is provided by the platform. The Polymarket suite of markets (moneyline, spreads, and over/unders) are logically consistent and can be traded. Assume standard NHL rules: final score includes overtime and regulation; shootout adds one goal to the winning team's total for settlement purposes only.Critical Divergence Points:
Polymarket:
Moneyline resolves to 'Senators' if Senators win or 'Maple Leafs' if Maple Leafs win. Over/Under markets (4.5, 5.5, 6.5, 7.5) resolve based on combined goals with shootout adjustment. Spreads resolve based on margin of victory. All markets remain open if postponed; resolve 50-50 if canceled with no makeup game. Key quote: 'In the event of a shootout, one goal will be added to the winning team's score for the purpose of resolution.'Kalshi:
Market description states both 'If OTT Senators wins...resolve to Yes' AND 'If TOR Maple Leafs wins...resolve to Yes'. This creates a logical impossibility in a binary market where only one outcome should resolve affirmatively. Key quote: 'If OTT Senators wins the Ottawa at Toronto professional hockey game scheduled for Feb 28, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If TOR Maple Leafs wins the Ottawa at Toronto professional hockey game scheduled for Feb 28, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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