TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.8b
24H VOL:
$244,265,276
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,069,390
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,349,697,137
578,254
Markets across
14,382
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,099
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers an NHL game between the Ottawa Senators and Vancouver Canucks scheduled for March 9, 2026 at 9:00 PM ET. Markets span moneyline (winner), spread betting (margin of victory), and total goals (over/under various thresholds).
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi's spread/margin conditions are logically redundant (four YES conditions covering overlapping outcomes), and Kalshi does not specify shootout goal-counting methodology, while Polymarket explicitly adds 1 goal to the winner in shootout scenarios.Hero Tip:
Before trading: (1) Confirm with Kalshi whether all four conditions must be evaluated independently or if only one applies per game outcome. (2) Verify Kalshi's shootout resolution rule—does it match Polymarket's +1 goal adjustment? (3) Note that Kalshi's >1.5 goals is equivalent to 2+ goals, matching Polymarket's Senators spread threshold. (4) Moneyline and Over/Under markets appear consistent; focus audit on Kalshi's spread logic.Critical Divergence Points:
Kalshi:
Four separate YES conditions: (1) Vancouver wins by >2.5 goals, (2) Ottawa wins by >1.5 goals, (3) Vancouver wins by >1.5 goals, (4) Ottawa wins by >2.5 goals. These conditions are mathematically redundant—any decisive game outcome satisfies at least one condition. No explicit shootout rule stated. Key quote: 'If Vancouver wins by over 2.5 goals... then the market resolves to Yes' and 'If Vancouver wins by over 1.5 goals... then the market resolves to Yes.'Polymarket:
Moneyline: resolves to team name (Senators or Canucks). Spread (-1.5): resolves to Senators if they win by 2+ goals, otherwise Canucks. Over/Under: combined goals with explicit shootout rule—one goal added to winning team's score. Key quote: 'In the event of a shootout, one goal will be added to the winning team's score for the purpose of resolution.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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