A men's college basketball game between the Seattle Redhawks and Pepperdine Waves scheduled for February 25, 2026 at 9:00 PM ET. Markets cover moneyline (winner), multiple point spreads (-5.5, -6.5, -7.5), and total points over/under (145.5, 146.5).
Kalshi's moneyline market contains a logical contradiction where both Seattle win and Pepperdine win resolve to Yes, making the market fundamentally unresolvable. Polymarket's moneyline correctly distinguishes outcomes.
Hero Tip:
Do not trade the Kalshi moneyline—it is unresolvable due to contradictory logic. Use Polymarket's moneyline market instead. All spread and total markets (Polymarket) are internally consistent and should resolve correctly based on final score including overtime.
Critical Divergence Points:
Kalshi:
Moneyline market states: 'If Pepperdine wins...resolves to Yes' AND 'If Seattle wins...resolves to Yes.' Both mutually exclusive outcomes map to the same resolution (Yes), creating a logical impossibility.
Polymarket:
Moneyline market correctly states: 'If Seattle Redhawks win, resolve to Seattle Redhawks. If Pepperdine Waves win, resolve to Pepperdine Waves.' Outcomes are properly distinguished.
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