TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.7b
24H VOL:
$229,178,007
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,069,390
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,336,753,738
577,196
Markets across
14,485
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,077
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a professional Brasileiro soccer match between SE Palmeiras and Fluminense FC scheduled for February 25, 2026. Markets span three outcome types: match result (win/draw/loss), goal differential thresholds (1.5+ and 2.5+ goal margins), and cancellation scenarios. Resolution is based on the final score after 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalties.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Cancellation handling differs between platforms. Polymarket applies asymmetric resolution (draw YES, wins NO) if canceled; Kalshi provides no explicit cancellation clause for goal differential markets.Hero Tip:
Verify match completion status before settlement. If canceled with no make-up game, Polymarket's draw market resolves YES while win markets resolve NO—a logical inconsistency. For Kalshi, request written clarification on how goal differential markets resolve if the match does not occur.Critical Divergence Points:
Polymarket:
Three binary outcome markets (draw, Palmeiras win, Fluminense win) with asymmetric cancellation logic. Draw market resolves YES if canceled with no make-up; win markets resolve NO. Quote: 'If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to Yes' (draw) vs. 'this market will resolve No' (wins).Kalshi:
Four goal differential markets (Fluminense >2.5, Palmeiras >2.5, Palmeiras >1.5, Fluminense >1.5) with no explicit cancellation clause. Resolution logic is conditional on match outcome only; cancellation scenario is unaddressed.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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