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405,232

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30,526

events

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2,693

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

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VS.

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SE Palmeiras vs. Fluminense FC
polymarket
kalshi

SE Palmeiras vs. Fluminense FC

Volume:
$84,795

SE Palmeiras

 - Polymarket

SE Palmeiras - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Feb 26, 2026

Closed: Feb 25, 7:30 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

SE Palmeiras

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$29,130
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Fluminense FC

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$33,959
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Draw (SE Palmeiras vs. Fluminense FC)

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$21,700
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Palmeiras wins by over 1.5 goals

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$6
N/A
N/A
$6
Settled
No
kalshi

Fluminense wins by over 2.5 goals

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Palmeiras wins by over 2.5 goals

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Fluminense wins by over 1.5 goals

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 7

Description

This event group covers a professional Brasileiro soccer match between SE Palmeiras and Fluminense FC scheduled for February 25, 2026. Markets span three outcome types: match result (win/draw/loss), goal differential thresholds (1.5+ and 2.5+ goal margins), and cancellation scenarios. Resolution is based on the final score after 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalties.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Cancellation handling differs between platforms. Polymarket applies asymmetric resolution (draw YES, wins NO) if canceled; Kalshi provides no explicit cancellation clause for goal differential markets.Hero tip: Verify match completion status before settlement. If canceled with no make-up game, Polymarket's draw market resolves YES while win markets resolve NO—a logical inconsistency. For Kalshi, request written clarification on how goal differential markets resolve if the match does not occur.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Three binary outcome markets (draw, Palmeiras win, Fluminense win) with asymmetric cancellation logic. Draw market resolves YES if canceled with no make-up; win markets resolve NO. Quote: 'If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to Yes' (draw) vs. 'this market will resolve No' (wins).
  • Kalshi: Four goal differential markets (Fluminense >2.5, Palmeiras >2.5, Palmeiras >1.5, Fluminense >1.5) with no explicit cancellation clause. Resolution logic is conditional on match outcome only; cancellation scenario is unaddressed.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.