TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.9b
24H VOL:
$249,705,498
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,069,390
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,354,509,605
579,516
Markets across
14,317
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,116
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event is for the upcoming UEFA Europa League game, scheduled for Thursday, April 9, 2026 between SC Freiburg and RC Celta de Vigo.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Polymarket and Kalshi differ fundamentally in market scope and resolution logic. Polymarket offers three binary outcome markets (Freiburg win, Celta win, draw) that resolve based on the 90-minute match result, while Kalshi offers four over/under total goals markets (>1.5, >2.5, >3.5, >4.5) that resolve based on combined scoring. These are distinct market types with different resolution criteria and sources.Hero Tip:
If you trade on Polymarket, you are betting on match outcome (win/loss/draw). If you trade on Kalshi, you are betting on total goals scored. These markets do not hedge each other—a Freiburg win on Polymarket is independent of whether Kalshi's goal thresholds are met. Verify which market type aligns with your prediction before placing trades.Critical Divergence Points:
Polymarket:
Distinct stance: Polymarket offers three mutually exclusive binary outcome markets (Freiburg win, Celta win, draw) that resolve based on the final 90-minute match result. Resolution source is official UEFA statistics or credible reporting consensus within 2 hours of match conclusion. 'This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.'Kalshi:
Distinct stance: Kalshi offers four independent over/under total goals markets (>1.5, >2.5, >3.5, >4.5) that resolve based on combined goals scored by both teams within 90 minutes plus stoppage time. 'If Celta Vigo and Freiburg collectively score more than [X] total goals in the Freiburg vs Celta Vigo professional Europa League soccer game originally scheduled for Apr 9, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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