TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.7b
24H VOL:
$229,178,007
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,069,390
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,336,753,738
577,196
Markets across
14,485
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,077
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers the professional Eredivisie soccer match between SBV Excelsior and SC Heerenveen scheduled for March 7, 2026. Three related prediction markets track the final outcome: whether the match ends in a draw, whether Excelsior wins, or whether Heerenveen wins. All markets resolve based on the result after 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi's three markets all resolve to Yes under any outcome (logical contradiction), while Polymarket uses outcome-specific cancellation rules. Additionally, Kalshi's phrasing suggests three mutually exclusive events that cannot all occur, making the platform's resolution framework internally incoherent.Hero Tip:
Do not trade Kalshi markets until resolution logic is clarified—the statement that all three outcomes resolve to Yes is mathematically impossible. On Polymarket, be aware that game cancellation without makeup favors the draw market (Yes) while penalizing win markets (No). Monitor Eredivisie official schedule for postponements or cancellations.Critical Divergence Points:
Kalshi:
All three outcome scenarios (Tie, Excelsior Win, Heerenveen Win) are stated to resolve to Yes. This creates a logical impossibility since only one outcome can occur. No explicit cancellation rule provided. Key Quote: 'If Tie wins...then the market resolves to Yes. If Excelsior wins...then the market resolves to Yes. If Heerenveen wins...then the market resolves to Yes.'Polymarket:
Three separate markets with outcome-specific resolution: Draw market resolves Yes on draw or cancellation; Excelsior and Heerenveen win markets resolve No on cancellation. Postponement keeps markets open. Key Quote: 'If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to Yes' (draw) vs. 'this market will resolve No' (win markets).
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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